19 Jul · 20:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MK
🇵🇱Mateusz Karpiuk
ELO 1501
FormWWLLW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Skorupa
JS
🇵🇱Jakub Skorupa
ELO 1545
FormLWWLW
45%
55%
🌟Karpiuk goes over total as underdog 66% (32)
Fair odds · Skorupa
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~77 pts
1-3
22%
3-1
18%
0-3
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+44
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+44)