Mateusz Karpiuk vs Zbigniew Nocun — TT Elite Series

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19 Jul · 21:20 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct

🇵🇱Mateusz Karpiuk

ELO 1504

1-3Final setsNocun won

🇵🇱Zbigniew Nocun

ELO 1592

What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Nocun at 53%. The actual result was Zbigniew Nocun 1-3 — the pick was correct.

Mateusz Karpiuk — profile →Zbigniew Nocun — profile →Head-to-head →

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner

Mateusz Karpiuk favoured — closing 1.6

Upset

Total 75.5

70 points played

Under

Set handicap

Mateusz Karpiuk −1.5 sets

No cover

Points handicap

Mateusz Karpiuk −3.5 points

No cover

Total sets 4.5

over / under

Under

Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Mateusz Karpiuk is favoured to win, below means Zbigniew Nocun.

▲ Mateusz Karpiukpre 43% → final 2%

Zbigniew Nocun ▼

Biggest swing 50 pts72 points · 4 games