8 Aug · 18:15 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MK
🇵🇱Mateusz Karpiuk
ELO 1495
FormWLWLL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Lewczuk
ML
🇵🇱Miroslaw Lewczuk
ELO 1568
FormWWWLL
42%
58%
🌟Lewczuk covers set handicap as favourite 75% (20)
Fair odds · Lewczuk
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 51% · 1.95· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~78 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+73
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+73)