13 Aug · 05:35 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
KK
🇵🇱Kacper Kwiatkowski
ELO 1403
FormLWWLW
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Karpiuk
MK
🇵🇱Mateusz Karpiuk
ELO 1496
FormWLWWL
40%
60%
🌟Karpiuk rarely covers set handicap as favourite 30% (82)
Fair odds · Karpiuk
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 62% · 1.62· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 45%Total ~76 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
22%
3-1
16%
2-3
15%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+93
H2H4-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+93)