14 Aug · 01:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
ML
🇵🇱Miroslaw Lewczuk
ELO 1559
FormWLWLW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Lewczuk
MK
🇵🇱Mateusz Karpiuk
ELO 1516
FormWLWWW
55%
45%
🌟Lewczuk covers set handicap as favourite 70% (30)
Fair odds · Lewczuk
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 53% · 1.89· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~78 pts
3-1
22%
1-3
18%
3-0
17%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+43
H2H3-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+43)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-1)