14 Aug · 07:05 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
WS
🇵🇱Witold Stechly
ELO 1173
FormLLLLL
81%Win chancemodel fair 1.23Karpiuk
MK
🇵🇱Mateusz Karpiuk
ELO 1508
FormLLWLW
19%
81%
🌟Karpiuk rarely covers set handicap as favourite 30% (82)
Fair odds · Karpiuk
Model 81% · 1.23vsMarket 73% · 1.36· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 69%Total ~72 pts
0-3
41%
1-3
29%
2-3
12%
3-2
9%
3-1
7%
Elo Gap+335
H2H1-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+335)
- ✓Better recent form (2-3)