16 Aug · 20:10 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
KK
🇵🇱Kacper Kwiatkowski
ELO 1391
FormLLLWW
62%Win chancemodel fair 1.61Karpiuk
MK
🇵🇱Mateusz Karpiuk
ELO 1506
FormLWLLW
38%
62%
🌟Karpiuk rarely covers set handicap as favourite 30% (82)
Fair odds · Karpiuk
Model 62% · 1.61vsMarket 61% · 1.64· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~76 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
23%
2-3
15%
3-1
15%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+115
H2H5-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+115)