20 Aug · 01:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
AK
🇵🇱Andrzej Krezel
ELO 1349
FormLWWWL
67%Win chancemodel fair 1.49Karpiuk
MK
🇵🇱Mateusz Karpiuk
ELO 1506
FormLWLWL
33%
67%
🌟Karpiuk rarely covers set handicap as favourite 30% (90)
Fair odds · Karpiuk
Model 67% · 1.49vsMarket 63% · 1.59· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 50%Total ~78 pts
1-3
26%
0-3
24%
2-3
16%
3-1
13%
3-2
12%
Elo Gap+157
H2H0-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+157)