20 Aug · 03:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
ZN
🇵🇱Zbigniew Nocun
ELO 1564
FormLLLWW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Nocun
MK
🇵🇱Mateusz Karpiuk
ELO 1488
FormLLLWL
58%
42%
🌟Karpiuk goes over total as underdog 65% (72)
Fair odds · Nocun
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 55% · 1.81· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~77 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
19%
3-2
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+76
H2H5-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+76)