20 Aug · 03:10 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MW
🇵🇱Miroslaw Warzecha
ELO 1704
FormWLLWL
72%Win chancemodel fair 1.39Warzecha
MK
🇵🇱Mateusz Karpiuk
ELO 1488
FormLLLWL
72%
28%
🌟Karpiuk goes over total as underdog 65% (72)
Fair odds · Warzecha
Model 72% · 1.39vsMarket 74% · 1.35· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 57%Total ~75 pts
3-0
31%
3-1
26%
3-2
15%
2-3
12%
1-3
10%
Elo Gap+216
H2H4-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+216)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-1)