20 Aug · 06:40 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
JO
🇵🇱Jacek Oracz
ELO 1672
FormLWWLW
69%Win chancemodel fair 1.45Oracz
MK
🇵🇱Mateusz Karpiuk
ELO 1490
FormWLLLL
69%
31%
🔥 Underdog lean · Karpiuk🌟Karpiuk goes over total as underdog 65% (72)
Fair odds · Oracz
Model 69% · 1.45vsMarket 67% · 1.49· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 52%Total ~78 pts
3-1
27%
3-0
25%
3-2
17%
1-3
12%
2-3
11%
Elo Gap+182
H2H3-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+182)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-2)