20 Aug · 05:55 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
HT
🇵🇱Henryk Tkaczyk
ELO 1656
FormLLWLW
68%Win chancemodel fair 1.47Tkaczyk
MK
🇵🇱Mateusz Karpiuk
ELO 1490
FormWLLLL
68%
32%
🌟Tkaczyk stays under total as favourite 66% (56)
Fair odds · Tkaczyk
Model 68% · 1.47vsMarket 67% · 1.49· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 51%Total ~77 pts
3-1
26%
3-0
25%
3-2
17%
1-3
13%
2-3
12%
Elo Gap+166
H2H12-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+166)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (12-3)