Andriej Fomin vs Mateusz Karpiuk — TT Elite Series

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20 Aug · 22:40 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed

🇵🇱Andriej Fomin

ELO 1618

1-3Final setsKarpiuk won

🇵🇱Mateusz Karpiuk

ELO 1468

What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Fomin at 66%. The actual result was Mateusz Karpiuk 1-3 — the underdog won.

Andriej Fomin — profile →Mateusz Karpiuk — profile →Head-to-head →

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner

Andriej Fomin favoured — closing 1.52

Upset

Set handicap

Andriej Fomin −1.5 sets

No cover

Points handicap

Andriej Fomin −3.5 points

No cover

Total sets 4.5

over / under

Under

Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Andriej Fomin is favoured to win, below means Mateusz Karpiuk.

▲ Andriej Fominpre 71% → final 7%

Mateusz Karpiuk ▼

Biggest swing 70 ptsKarpiuk recovered from 23%72 points · 4 games