Mateusz Karpiuk vs Jacek Zelezik — TT Elite Series

← TT Elite Series predictions

23 Sep · 22:40 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct

🇵🇱Mateusz Karpiuk

ELO 1519

2-3Final setsZelezik won

🇵🇱Jacek Zelezik

ELO 1602

What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Zelezik at 57%. The actual result was Jacek Zelezik 2-3 — the pick was correct.

Mateusz Karpiuk — profile →Jacek Zelezik — profile →Head-to-head →

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner

Jacek Zelezik favoured — closing 1.42

Favourite won

Set handicap

Jacek Zelezik −1.5 sets

No cover

Points handicap

Jacek Zelezik −5.5 points

No cover

Total sets 4.5

over / under

Over

Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Mateusz Karpiuk is favoured to win, below means Jacek Zelezik.

▲ Mateusz Karpiukpre 46% → final 22%

Jacek Zelezik ▼

Biggest swing 73 ptsZelezik recovered from 5%72 points · 5 games