Mateusz Karpiuk vs Kacper Kwiatkowski — TT Elite Series

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24 Sep · 01:30 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed

🇵🇱Mateusz Karpiuk

ELO 1520

2-3Final setsKwiatkowski won

🇵🇱Kacper Kwiatkowski

ELO 1466

What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Karpiuk at 54%. The actual result was Kacper Kwiatkowski 2-3 — the underdog won.

Mateusz Karpiuk — profile →Kacper Kwiatkowski — profile →Head-to-head →

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner

Kacper Kwiatkowski favoured — closing 1.6

Favourite won

Total 74.5

99 points played

Over

Set handicap

Kacper Kwiatkowski −1.5 sets

No cover

Points handicap

Kacper Kwiatkowski −3.5 points

No cover

Total sets 4.5

over / under

Over

Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Mateusz Karpiuk is favoured to win, below means Kacper Kwiatkowski.

▲ Mateusz Karpiukpre 51% → final 24%

Kacper Kwiatkowski ▼

Biggest swing 73 ptsKwiatkowski recovered from 26%72 points · 5 games