Henryk Tkaczyk vs Mateusz Karpiuk — TT Elite Series

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24 Sep · 02:20 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed

🇵🇱Henryk Tkaczyk

ELO 1664

2-3Final setsKarpiuk won

🇵🇱Mateusz Karpiuk

ELO 1522

What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Tkaczyk at 67%. The actual result was Mateusz Karpiuk 2-3 — the underdog won.

Henryk Tkaczyk — profile →Mateusz Karpiuk — profile →Head-to-head →

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner

Henryk Tkaczyk favoured — closing 1.27

Upset

Set handicap

Henryk Tkaczyk −1.5 sets

No cover

Points handicap

Henryk Tkaczyk −8.5 points

No cover

Total sets 4.5

over / under

Over

Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Henryk Tkaczyk is favoured to win, below means Mateusz Karpiuk.

▲ Henryk Tkaczykpre 65% → final 1%

Mateusz Karpiuk ▼

Biggest swing 68 ptsKarpiuk recovered from 31%72 points · 5 games