Dawid Pyrek vs Mateusz Karpiuk — TT Elite Series

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03 Oct · 16:35 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed

🇵🇱Dawid Pyrek

ELO 1440

3-2Final setsPyrek won

🇵🇱Mateusz Karpiuk

ELO 1535

What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Karpiuk at 61%. The actual result was Dawid Pyrek 3-2 — the underdog won.

Dawid Pyrek — profile →Mateusz Karpiuk — profile →Head-to-head →

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner

Mateusz Karpiuk favoured — closing 1.47

Upset

Total 75.5

96 points played

Over

Set handicap

Mateusz Karpiuk −1.5 sets

No cover

Points handicap

Mateusz Karpiuk −4.5 points

No cover

Total sets 4.5

over / under

Over

Exact score

market priced 3-2 at close

5.6

Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Dawid Pyrek is favoured to win, below means Mateusz Karpiuk.

▲ Dawid Pyrekpre 35% → final 88%

Mateusz Karpiuk ▼

Biggest swing 64 ptsPyrek recovered from 30%72 points · 5 games