Piotr Gesiarz vs Mateusz Karpiuk — TT Elite Series

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03 Oct · 17:20 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct

🇵🇱Piotr Gesiarz

ELO 1460

2-3Final setsKarpiuk won

🇵🇱Mateusz Karpiuk

ELO 1535

What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Karpiuk at 59%. The actual result was Mateusz Karpiuk 2-3 — the pick was correct.

Piotr Gesiarz — profile →Mateusz Karpiuk — profile →Head-to-head →

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner

Mateusz Karpiuk favoured — closing 1.8

Favourite won

Total 74.5

97 points played

Over

Set handicap

Mateusz Karpiuk −1.5 sets

No cover

Points handicap

Mateusz Karpiuk −0.5 points

No cover

Total sets 4.5

over / under

Over

Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Piotr Gesiarz is favoured to win, below means Mateusz Karpiuk.

▲ Piotr Gesiarzpre 44% → final 0%

Mateusz Karpiuk ▼

Biggest swing 83 ptsKarpiuk recovered from 17%72 points · 5 games