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← TT Elite Series predictions
10 Oct · 16:50 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
MKMateusz Karpiuk
🇵🇱Mateusz Karpiuk
ELO 1497
3-2Final setsKarpiuk won
OJOskar Jedrzejowski
🇵🇱Oskar Jedrzejowski
ELO 1600
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Jedrzejowski at 61%. The actual result was Mateusz Karpiuk 3-2 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Jedrzejowski favoured — closing 1.32
Upset
Total 76.5
94 points played
Over
Set handicap
Jedrzejowski −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Jedrzejowski −5.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
5.5
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Mateusz Karpiuk is favoured to win, below means Oskar Jedrzejowski.

▲ Mateusz Karpiukpre 42% → final 88%
Oskar Jedrzejowski ▼
Biggest swing 72 ptsKarpiuk recovered from 24%72 points · 5 games