Mateusz Karpiuk vs Grzegorz Mucha — TT Elite Series

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10 Oct · 18:25 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed

🇵🇱Mateusz Karpiuk

ELO 1497

2-3Final setsMucha won

🇵🇱Grzegorz Mucha

ELO 1540

What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Karpiuk at 51%. The actual result was Grzegorz Mucha 2-3 — the underdog won.

Mateusz Karpiuk — profile →Grzegorz Mucha — profile →Head-to-head →

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner

Mucha favoured — closing 1.75

Favourite won

Total 76.5

94 points played

Over

Set handicap

Mucha −1.5 sets

No cover

Points handicap

Mucha −0.5 points

Covered

Total sets 4.5

over / under

Over

Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Mateusz Karpiuk is favoured to win, below means Grzegorz Mucha.

▲ Mateusz Karpiukpre 47% → final 23%

Grzegorz Mucha ▼

Biggest swing 54 ptsMucha recovered from 37%72 points · 5 games