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10 Oct · 19:10 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
CPCezary Pawlik
🇵🇱Cezary Pawlik
ELO 1649
3-0Final setsPawlik won
MKMateusz Karpiuk
🇵🇱Mateusz Karpiuk
ELO 1497
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Pawlik at 65%. The actual result was Cezary Pawlik 3-0 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Pawlik favoured — closing 1.47
Favourite won
Total 74.5
49 points played
Under
Set handicap
Pawlik −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Pawlik −4.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-0 at close
4.65
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Cezary Pawlik is favoured to win, below means Mateusz Karpiuk.

▲ Cezary Pawlikpre 70% → final 100%
Mateusz Karpiuk ▼
Biggest swing 30 pts47 points · 3 games