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10 Oct · 22:25 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
MKMateusz Karpiuk
🇵🇱Mateusz Karpiuk
ELO 1501
3-1Final setsKarpiuk won
JOJacek Oracz
🇵🇱Jacek Oracz
ELO 1666
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Oracz at 69%. The actual result was Mateusz Karpiuk 3-1 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Jacek Oracz favoured — closing 1.35
Upset
Total 75.5
78 points played
Over
Set handicap
Jacek Oracz −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Jacek Oracz −6.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
7.5
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Mateusz Karpiuk is favoured to win, below means Jacek Oracz.

▲ Mateusz Karpiukpre 26% → final 1%
Jacek Oracz ▼
Biggest swing 30 pts57 points · 3 games