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11 Oct · 00:00 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
MKMateusz Karpiuk
🇵🇱Mateusz Karpiuk
ELO 1501
2-3Final setsSkorupa won
JSJakub Skorupa
🇵🇱Jakub Skorupa
ELO 1524
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Karpiuk at 51%. The actual result was Jakub Skorupa 2-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Jakub Skorupa favoured — closing 1.65
Favourite won
Total 76.5
91 points played
Over
Set handicap
Jakub Skorupa −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Jakub Skorupa −0.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Mateusz Karpiuk is favoured to win, below means Jakub Skorupa.

▲ Mateusz Karpiukpre 47% → final 1%
Jakub Skorupa ▼
Biggest swing 83 ptsSkorupa recovered from 17%72 points · 5 games