Mateusz Karpiuk vs Grzegorz Mucha — TT Elite Series

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11 Oct · 02:45 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed

🇵🇱Mateusz Karpiuk

ELO 1501

3-1Final setsKarpiuk won

🇵🇱Grzegorz Mucha

ELO 1539

What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Mucha at 56%. The actual result was Mateusz Karpiuk 3-1 — the underdog won.

Mateusz Karpiuk — profile →Grzegorz Mucha — profile →Head-to-head →

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner

Mateusz Karpiuk favoured — closing 1.8

Favourite won

Total 76.5

75 points played

Under

Set handicap

Mateusz Karpiuk −1.5 sets

Covered

Points handicap

Mateusz Karpiuk −0.5 points

Covered

Total sets 4.5

over / under

Under

Exact score

market priced 3-1 at close

4.2

Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Mateusz Karpiuk is favoured to win, below means Grzegorz Mucha.

▲ Mateusz Karpiukpre 47% → final 99%

Grzegorz Mucha ▼

Biggest swing 78 ptsKarpiuk recovered from 21%72 points · 4 games