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← TT Elite Series predictions
17 Oct · 17:10 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
DPDawid Pyrek
🇵🇱Dawid Pyrek
ELO 1421
3-2Final setsPyrek won
MKMateusz Karpiuk
🇵🇱Mateusz Karpiuk
ELO 1491
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Karpiuk at 59%. The actual result was Dawid Pyrek 3-2 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Mateusz Karpiuk favoured — closing 1.42
Upset
Set handicap
Mateusz Karpiuk −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Mateusz Karpiuk −5.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
5.7
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Dawid Pyrek is favoured to win, below means Mateusz Karpiuk.

▲ Dawid Pyrekpre 44% → final 75%
Mateusz Karpiuk ▼
Biggest swing 65 ptsPyrek recovered from 10%72 points · 5 games