Mateusz Karpiuk vs Andriej Fomin — TT Elite Series

← TT Elite Series predictions

17 Oct · 19:35 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed

🇵🇱Mateusz Karpiuk

ELO 1513

3-2Final setsKarpiuk won

🇵🇱Andriej Fomin

ELO 1594

What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Fomin at 60%. The actual result was Mateusz Karpiuk 3-2 — the underdog won.

Mateusz Karpiuk — profile →Andriej Fomin — profile →Head-to-head →

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner

Andriej Fomin favoured — closing 1.6

Upset

Set handicap

Andriej Fomin −1.5 sets

No cover

Points handicap

Andriej Fomin −3.5 points

No cover

Total sets 4.5

over / under

Over

Exact score

market priced 3-2 at close

Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Mateusz Karpiuk is favoured to win, below means Andriej Fomin.

▲ Mateusz Karpiukpre 43% → final 97%

Andriej Fomin ▼

Biggest swing 58 ptsKarpiuk recovered from 39%72 points · 5 games