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← TT Elite Series predictions
17 Oct · 23:10 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
DPDawid Pyrek
🇵🇱Dawid Pyrek
ELO 1420
1-3Final setsKarpiuk won
MKMateusz Karpiuk
🇵🇱Mateusz Karpiuk
ELO 1512
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Karpiuk at 61%. The actual result was Mateusz Karpiuk 1-3 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Mateusz Karpiuk favoured — closing 1.52
Favourite won
Total 75.5
89 points played
Over
Set handicap
Mateusz Karpiuk −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Mateusz Karpiuk −3.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Dawid Pyrek is favoured to win, below means Mateusz Karpiuk.

▲ Dawid Pyrekpre 42% → final 75%
Mateusz Karpiuk ▼
Biggest swing 65 ptsPyrek recovered from 10%72 points · 5 games