Cezary Pawlik vs Mateusz Karpiuk — TT Elite Series

← TT Elite Series predictions

18 Oct · 00:25 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct

🇵🇱Cezary Pawlik

ELO 1672

3-1Final setsPawlik won

🇵🇱Mateusz Karpiuk

ELO 1494

What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Pawlik at 65%. The actual result was Cezary Pawlik 3-1 — the pick was correct.

Cezary Pawlik — profile →Mateusz Karpiuk — profile →Head-to-head →

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner

Cezary Pawlik favoured — closing 1.4

Favourite won

Total 74.5

84 points played

Over

Set handicap

Cezary Pawlik −1.5 sets

Covered

Points handicap

Cezary Pawlik −5.5 points

No cover

Total sets 4.5

over / under

Under

Exact score

market priced 3-1 at close

3.1

Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Cezary Pawlik is favoured to win, below means Mateusz Karpiuk.

▲ Cezary Pawlikpre 63% → final 93%

Mateusz Karpiuk ▼

Biggest swing 62 ptsPawlik recovered from 38%72 points · 4 games