18 Oct · 03:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MK
🇵🇱Mateusz Karpiuk
ELO 1512
FormWLWWW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Fomin
AF
🇵🇱Andriej Fomin
ELO 1591
FormLWWWL
41%
59%
🌟Karpiuk goes over total as underdog 64% (132)
Fair odds · Fomin
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 56% · 1.77· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~82 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+79
H2H6-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+79)