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← TT Elite Series predictions
18 Oct · 02:45 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
GMGrzegorz Mucha
🇵🇱Grzegorz Mucha
ELO 1540
3-1Final setsMucha won
MKMateusz Karpiuk
🇵🇱Mateusz Karpiuk
ELO 1494
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Mucha at 53%. The actual result was Grzegorz Mucha 3-1 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Grzegorz Mucha favoured — closing 1.42
Favourite won
Total 75.5
67 points played
Under
Set handicap
Grzegorz Mucha −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Grzegorz Mucha −4.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
3.25
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Grzegorz Mucha is favoured to win, below means Mateusz Karpiuk.

▲ Grzegorz Muchapre 57% → final 100%
Mateusz Karpiuk ▼
Biggest swing 47 pts66 points · 4 games