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24 Oct · 23:20 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
RFRoman Frank
🇵🇱Roman Frank
ELO 1367
3-2Final setsFrank won
MKMateusz Karpiuk
🇵🇱Mateusz Karpiuk
ELO 1492
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Karpiuk at 65%. The actual result was Roman Frank 3-2 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Karpiuk favoured — closing 1.12
Upset
Total 65.5
92 points played
Over
Set handicap
Karpiuk −2.5 sets
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
13
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Roman Frank is favoured to win, below means Mateusz Karpiuk.

▲ Roman Frankpre 30% → final 100%
Mateusz Karpiuk ▼
Biggest swing 98 ptsFrank recovered from 2%72 points · 5 games