7 Nov · 20:55 MEZMedium · Model Lean
PG
🇵🇱Piotr Gesiarz
ELO 1580
FormWWWLW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Gesiarz
MK
🇵🇱Mateusz Karpiuk
ELO 1504
FormWWLWW
58%
42%
🌟Karpiuk goes over total as underdog 64% (132)
Fair odds · Gesiarz
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~76 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
19%
3-2
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+76
H2H4-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+76)