7 Nov · 21:40 MEZLow · Slight Edge
JS
🇵🇱Janus Slawomir
ELO 1473
FormLLLLW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Karpiuk
MK
🇵🇱Mateusz Karpiuk
ELO 1504
FormWWLWW
47%
53%
🔥 Underdog lean · Slawomir🌟Karpiuk rarely covers set handicap as favourite 29% (114)
Fair odds · Karpiuk
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
19%
0-3
17%
2-3
15%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+31
H2H3-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.